Will FiveThirtyEight's final 2024 presidential forecast give Biden a >=80% chance of winning?
15
58
330
Nov 6
10%
chance

I will base this on whatever number is displayed on the website, so if they round it to the nearest whole percentage, so will I. If 538 doesn't provide a forecast in 2024, this market resolves N/A.

Get Ṁ200 play money