Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.5%?
Plus
19
Ṁ2170Dec 1
95%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will and U.S. House of Representatives seat be won by less than 0.5% in 2024? I'm only counting regularly scheduled elections, not special elections. In 2022, this happened for three races.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.1%?
14% chance
Will at least 5 U.S. House elections be decided by less than 0.5% in 2024?
40% chance
Will at least 25 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
39% chance
Will at least 20 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
69% chance
Will at least 15 U.S. House races be decided by less than 2% in 2024?
53% chance
Will at least 10 House races be decided by <1% in 2024?
64% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 0.1%?
17% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 1%?
99% chance
Will any state be decided by <0.5% in the 2024 election?
3% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 0.5%?
97% chance