Will Alaska be closer than Virginia in the 2024 POTUS election?
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resolved Nov 11
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NO

Alaska was slightly closer than Virginia in 2020, a result that would have been shocking just a few elections earlier, given that Virginia used to be a swing state, and Alaska had a very long history as a solid red state. Both states are trending blue, so if the trend continues, Alaska will be closer in the next election, and Virginia will be even more solid for the Democrats. However, it's also possible that they snap back slightly towards their past history, or that Republicans have a better year than 2020 and make both states redder.

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for anyone else too lazy, in 2020, Alaska's margin was 10.06% and Virginia's was 10.11% (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election#Results_by_state)

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