I created a "Manifold Plays" of the game Chomp and want more participation to determine what moves will be made. Don't worry if you have never heard of the game Chomp. The rules are extremely simple, and you can see the rules and an example game here: /JosephNoonan/can-manifold-beat-the-computer-at-c

"Manifold Plays" works as follows: For each move, I make a free response market on what move Manifold should make. Then I take the top three options and create conditional markets asking whether Manifold will win, given that they choose each move. The move with the highest average conditional probability wins.

I will give 10 mana to the first ten people to do the following:

1. Submit a move to one of the free response markets. (You will have to wait for Turn 3 to do this if you haven't already).

2. Trade on all three conditional markets for some turn. Currently, the markets for Turn 2 are open right now.

   Only serious trades count. A serious trade is defined as either a trade of at least 5 mana, where you hold onto the shares for at least 24 hours, or a limit order of at least 10 mana at a probability no more than 10% away from the market's current probability.

3. Comment here that you did it.

The order of 1 and 2 doesn't matter.