How many of the seven swing states will be decided by 2.5% or less?
30
Ṁ1kṀ4kresolved Dec 5
100%25%
4
5%
0
10%
1
13%
2
26%
3
11%
5
5%
6
5%
7
How many of Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona will be decided by 2.5% or less? i.e., in how many of these states will the difference in vote percentage between Harris and Trump be at most 2.5%? Note that this market only counts these seven states. If any other states end up being decided by <2.5%, they won't count towards the total.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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