Chaos: Resolves to a very insecure vote.
38
939
αΉ€290
resolved Aug 29
Resolved
NO

This market will resolve to whichever side has more votes in this Google form at market close: https://forms.gle/kLyjhudJBVUwm6uF6

Or 50% if it's a tie.

The catch? Google forms, by default, doesn't limit each person to a single reponse, and I haven't changed this setting. So, you can vote as many times as you want.

Inspired by a fiasco in a recent poll-based market of mine.

Get αΉ€200 play money
Sort by:
predicted NO

Breaking news! The Plasma Ballin' decision desk can now project the winner. We're so proud of you all for getting out to vote - we received 14,824,700% voter turnout! Although the flood of votes was so large that it broke all of our infrastructure, we were able to eventually get the results to load in Google forms. The result was a landslide for NO, with 99.8% of the vote!

The full results were:

NO: 5620767 votes

YES: 12218

left blank: 401 votes

predicted NO

Does anyone object to a NO resolution? It is impossible to download the responses because the number of votes submitted completely broke Google forms. However, I am >>99% sure that NO won in a landslide (by more than 3 orders of magnitude, I think). The responses that I do have (from before the reset) are >99% NO, and I'm pretty sure all the responses after the reset were NO.

bought αΉ€10 of YES

Woah.

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan What's going on? I stopped botting so that the form wouldn't be too broken for you to get results

bought αΉ€1,000 of NO

@ShadowyZephyr Nothing, I just wanted to make the percentage of this market go up.

sold αΉ€108 of NO

@JosephNoonan Dammit you got me.

predicted NO

How many votes are on the form now?

predicted NO

@ShadowyZephyr Approaching 4 million, though I think it may have reached its true breaking point. I don't know if it's actually registering responses anymore because the number isn't going up. It may have reached the limit where it ran out of space to store any more responses.

bought αΉ€25 of NO

@JosephNoonan What % of the responses are NO? Guessing it's a pretty high % at this point

predicted NO

@ShadowyZephyr That's a secret

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan Well given that you're not betting YES anymore I think I'm safe....

predicted NO

The new form has already broken.

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan Can you give us a heads up about how you're going to run this? Will you just keep clearing the spreadsheet?

predicted NO

@ShadowyZephyr No, because I can't keep clearing the spreadhseet every few hours each time it gets broken. I was able to access the responses prior to the clearing by downloading them, so I'm just going to hope that I can access the final responses by downloading them as well. If it becomes so broken that I can't even do that, then I'll probably just have to N/A.

sold αΉ€244 of YES

since my bot isnt working and I have to go work instead of find the problem, I'm going to bail out of the race, that should make it easy to close as NO since I presume I was the only yes botter

predicted NO

@Vespie at least I only have to worry about one bot destroying the form

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan Two lol. But @ShadowyZephyrβ€˜s is better than mine

predicted NO

@oh I assumed yours is no longer running

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan I haven’t been keeping it going nonstop, so haven’t tried yet.

predicted NO

I should have only had this open for one week

predicted NO

I am just going to say it: One side is winning in a landslide, with more than 99% of the vote. So maybe you can calm down with your bots so that the form will be more manageable. Plus, I don't want to spam Google unnecessarily, even though this type of traffic is a drop in the bucket for them.

predicted YES

@JosephNoonan that spoils it though

predicted NO

@Vespie ofc YES is winning because you wiped all our f*cking 2 million votes that we had accumulated

and that restart stopped my bot from going I presume. Io don't think this is fair

predicted NO

@ShadowyZephyr No, those votes are still counted.

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan yes but my bot seems to not be working anymore since you restarted it

predicted NO

@ShadowyZephyr All of the votes collected since the form reopened are NO.

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan Oh, nvm then.

predicted NO

@ShadowyZephyr How fast does your bot generate responses? At this rate, the form is going to get destroyed again within a few hours

predicted YES

what are the odds my bot is also generating nos hmm

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan
I doubt it would destroy it THAT quickly. Maybe Vespie made a mistake? This is getting really stupid and we're now being forced to giveaway info. Not sure what we should do now.

predicted NO

@ShadowyZephyr There are already 40,000 responses.

predicted YES

if theres only 40k responses my bot isn't working. we've found the answer

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan oh my bot could definitely do 40k, I thought it takes millions to destroy the form. Also I want to point out that I almost certainly would win if you hadn't said that because Vespie would never know their bot broke