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MANIFOLD
Will France nuke itself from 2100 ft. in Minecraft? [self-editing]
11
Ṁ230Ṁ1.5k
resolved Apr 21
Resolved
YES

Every person who makes a trade on this market (including limit orders) may comment one word to add to the end of the title of this market (not including the "self-editing" tag). There is only one word per trader, so you can't get around the limit by making multiple trades. I will also not put anything that I deem horribly offensive into the title, and I will include punctuation that makes the most sense based on the current sequence of words in the title.

Instead of adding a word, traders may choose to LOCK or SCRATCH the market under certain conditions. LOCK means no one can change the title for a week, but can only be performed when the market title is currently a coherent question. SCRATCH means that the entire title is erased, and every trader can add a new word again (except the trader who just scratched the market). It can only be performed if the title is at least 10 words long (not including the "self-editing" tag).

I will resolve once the following criteria are met (and extend the close date if necessary):

  1. The title of the market is a coherent yes-or-no question.

  2. I know the answer to the question (I am allowed to perform research to find out).

  3. Providing the answer wouldn't cause harm to anyone (other than the people who lose mana from the resolution). This is mainly to avoid potentially violating someone's privacy, including my own.

  4. The question doesn't reference this market or its resolution in a way that makes proper resolution impossible.

  5. The question must actually have a yes-or-no answer, i.e. it shouldn't be conditional on something in a way that would cause it to resolve N/A.

  6. An addendum to the above: The answer must be objective and uncontroversial enough that I couldn't reasonably be accused of answering it incorrectly or based on personal opinion.

  7. [Added for clarification] It must be a question, not a statement. So, for example, "Matter exists," doesn't count, but "Matter exists, right?" does. You also can't turn a statement into a question by adding a question mark at the end, since I am the one who determines the punctuation.

I will resolve based on my interpretation of the question (I will use personal judgement for this, but, as stated above, if I interpret the question as asking about something subjective or controversial, I will leave the market open rather than using my personal judgement on that). Also, for the purposes of resolution, a word will be considered "added to the title" as soon as the comment to add it is posted, even if I have not personally seen it and edited the title yet. So you can't avoid a resolution by scratching the market before I see the comment.

Clarification on what counts as a word:

Links don't count as words, nor do mathematical equations or expressions that would take multiple words to say out loud. Numbers written in standard base 10 form (or another base, if the question specifies that) count as single words.

Apr 20, 5:39pm: ...? [self-editing] → Will...? [self-editing]

Apr 20, 5:47pm: Will...? [self-editing] → Will...? [self-editing]

Apr 20, 5:52pm: Will...? [self-editing] → Will France...? [self-editing]

Apr 20, 7:06pm: Will France...? [self-editing] → Will France nuke...? [self-editing]

Apr 20, 7:14pm: Will France nuke...? [self-editing] → Will France nuke itself? [self-editing]

Apr 20, 9:25pm: Will France nuke itself? [self-editing] → Will France nuke itself from 2100? [self-editing]

Apr 20, 9:31pm: Will France nuke itself from 2100? [self-editing] → Will France nuke itself from 2100 ft.? [self-editing]

Apr 21, 1:56am: Will France nuke itself from 2100 ft.? [self-editing] → Will France nuke itself from 2100 ft. in Minecraft? [self-editing]

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predictedYES

But I don’t think that’s ever happened in Minecraft.

@WinstonOswaldDrummond Yes it did, I just did it

predictedYES
predictedYES

Minecraft

predictedYES

@JosephNoonan Haha all right fair enough

in

predictedYES

Now if we add "In a video game" we can probably find a way to make it resolve yes :)

@WinstonOswaldDrummond Yeah, I was thinking the same thing, though there's a simpler way to do it. I just need one other person.

ft

My interpretation of the current question is that France has to send a nuke back in time from 2100 for it to resolve YES.

2100

From

Seems like someone who hasn't contributed yet could make some decent mana just by adding a short time-frame.

itself

nuke

France

Will