Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if your Manifold account reaches 100 followers by 11:59 PM UTC on January 31, 2026. Resolution will be verified by checking your public Manifold profile at https://manifold.markets/[your-username]. If your follower count is 100 or greater on that date, the market resolves YES. Otherwise, it resolves NO.

Background

Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform where users can create and trade on questions about future events. Followers on Manifold are users who subscribe to see your activity and market creations. Follower counts are publicly visible on user profiles and update in real-time as users follow or unfollow accounts.

Considerations

Follower counts can fluctuate as users follow and unfollow accounts. The resolution will be based on a single snapshot of your follower count at the deadline—if you drop below 100 followers after reaching it, the market still resolves YES based on the criteria above. If you want to track progress toward this goal, you can monitor your follower count directly on your Manifold profile page.