Resolution criteria

The market resolves to whichever team finishes with the most points in the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' World Championship, as determined by the official FIA standings at the conclusion of the season. Resolution will be verified via the official Formula 1 website (https://www.formula1.com/en/results.html) or FIA records.

Background

The 2026 season will feature a major set of regulation changes with a revised power unit configuration and new active aerodynamics. 50 per cent of the power will be generated from the internal combustion engine and 50 per cent from the battery. Audi, who acquired Sauber in 2024, will enter as a works team with its own power unit, while Cadillac is set to make its series debut using Ferrari power units, marking the first time an eleventh team has competed since 2016. Honda will enter into an exclusive works team agreement with Aston Martin, and Ford will return to the sport for the first time since 2004, supporting Red Bull Powertrains in supplying power units to Red Bull Racing and Racing Bulls.

Mercedes are way ahead in engine development for 2026, which benefits all the teams running Mercedes engines. Aston Martin is the real joker for 2026 with a car designed by Adrian Newey and an engine deal with Honda.

Considerations

While a midfield team may have an opportunity to make a leap up the order, the usual front-runners are expected to maintain their position in 2026. The magnitude of the regulation changes creates uncertainty—both chassis and engine rules are changing together for the first time. Engine development timelines and the success of new manufacturers entering the sport (Audi, Honda, Ford) will significantly impact the competitive order.