This resolves to "YES" if the trajectory of any missile fired from within North Korea intersects land internationally recognized as Japan.
Sep 20, 2:38pm: Will North Korea fire missiles that travel directly above the Japanese mainland in 2023? → Will North Korea fire missiles that travel directly above land internationally recognized as Japan in 2023?
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NK has now launched 2 missiles into the Sea of Japan within just 24 hours. What are the odds they launch another one that overflys Japan this year, like they have done in the past? Of course, I don't know, but it would seem higher than 7%.
Also see this source: https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2023/12/0fe7db7a154a-update2-n-korea-fires-ballistic-missile-falls-outside-japans-eez.html
>The move came after a senior South Korean government official reportedly said there is a possibility of North Korea launching an intercontinental ballistic missile this month.
North Korea Fires Missile Over Japan in Major Escalation — (New York Times link) “The medium-range missile was fired from Mupyong-ri, near North Korea’s central border with China, according to the South Korean military. It was launched at 7:22 a.m. and landed in the Pacific Ocean 22 minutes later, Japan’s chief cabinet minister, Hirokazu Matsuno, said. It crashed outside Japan’s exclusive economic zone, which extends 200 nautical miles from its shores, and flew about 4,600 kilometers, or 2,850 miles.”
Resolvable?
@jack Ah, fair enough. Take the link as just a discussion piece, then. That said I think it is pretty likely to repeat in 2023.