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MANIFOLD
Will anyone summit Dhaulagiri in the fall 2026 climbing season?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ169
Dec 1
12%
chance

This market will probably close some time in October, when there's either news of a successful summit or of all teams leaving for the season, but I'm putting December 1st as a hard close date because some people define that as the beginning of winter in the Himalayas (while others stick with December 21st).

I'm not aware of any planned winter Dhaulagiri trips this year, so hopefully that edge case does not come up. If some new winter team happens to start climbing after all scheduled fall teams leave the mountain, I will not reopen the market.

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