How many days will the MIT "solidarity encampment" last?
30
1.1kแน€5281
resolved Jul 16
Resolved
18-19

The question will resolve to the number of days that the MIT "solidarity encampment," intended to protest against MIT researchers' acceptance of Israeli military funding, stays up. It will be resolved based on how many 24-hour periods (rounded down) have elapsed since 8:30 PM, Sunday, 2024-04-21 (local time), which is approximately when the campsite was set up.

Moving the campsite will not count as it ending, and neither will any planned "pause" in camping of any length (provided the campsite returns on schedule). However, the campsite leaving campus entirely for any type of "temporary pause" of indefinite length will be counted as a resolution from the moment of departure, and will be resolved once 24 hours have elapsed from then.

Any and all campsites set up by counterprotesters or for any other reason (homeless encampments, other types of temporary structures) will not be counted as the solidarity encampment. However, other campsites set up on MIT property in support of the objectives of the solidarity encampment, even if done by different organizations than set up the solidarity encampment, will be counted as "the solidarity encampment" for purposes of resolution.

The question will resolve to 52 if and when more than 52 days have elapsed without the encampment stopping.

Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€390
2แน€130
3แน€116
4แน€83
5แน€80
Sort by:

UPDATE: the encampment was cleared "very early this morning," according to President Kornbluth.

https://links.mit.edu/nl3/Ui19YMDnhhkL0ABq9qLR9A?m=AV4AAD_ioAAAAcrtI4QAAAA8rC0AAAAAGqoAJdtvAAiQzwBmPgPnzuhsTusFQUCAl4W3jGt6ywAIIWc&b=0d0cf986&e=cc7a78b2&x=Emty2kPoijDLUwsR3im7oQ

According to protesters, this occurred at 3:50 AM. If no new encampment sets up by 3:50 AM tomorrow, the market will resolve to 18.

@PeterBerggren reminder to resolve your market!

@PeterBerggren, has the encampment at MIT been in continuous existence for the purposes of this question after May 6th?

@eleni Yes. 24 continuous hours have not passed without the encampment being occupied.

UPDATE: President Kornbluth announced that everyone must leave the encampment by 2:30 PM today or face suspension. If the campsite is fully taken down by 8:30 PM today, the market will resolve as 14. If it takes until tomorrow at 8:30 PM to take down everything, the market will resolve as 15.

It is currently 1:53 PM local time.

UPDATE: Kornbluth sent out an email on Friday instructing people to take the encampment down. It has since grown.

bought แน€4 YES

Deport those clowns to Gaza

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTermsโ€ขPrivacy