
Will more than 40 teams participate in the first round of the AI Forecasting Benchmark Series?
4
Ṁ1kṀ102resolved Oct 17
Resolved
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I will count each user/bot/team that is eligible for prize money. They must participate in 80% of questions to count.
The live announcement at Manifest said that prize money would be allocated to several categories with different scoring rules. If this turns out to be accurate, a bot must achieve 80% coverage in at least one prize-earning category to count. Its overall coverage may be lower.
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The purpose of this question was to demonstrate that this tournament can be a good deal for anyone who can program. Just figure out how to hook up to their API and you can probably earn over 1000 USD in expectation (times 4 quarters). Indeed, 23 participants earned nonzero prizes of at least 30 USD and 17 earned at least 300 USD.