Red Pill or Blue Pill?
12
140
290
resolved Dec 28
Resolved
YES
Red Pill
Resolved
NO
Blue Pill

if blue pill has higher odds than red pill, both options resolve to YES - if not, red pill resolves to YES and blue pill resolves to NO. Which do you choose?

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@PaulBleich resolve please

bought Ṁ10 of Blue Pill YES

Is "both, but blue slightly more" disallowed? :D

I mean, it's fun that "red pill" is showing up in blue on my screen, but what's the incentive to push red higher than blue? Like, yeah, it's guaranteed, but you max your profit by pushing red really high and then pushing blue really high as well, no?

Would be a different story if the two were linked so pushing the odds of one higher lowered the other.

In any case, y'all have pushed red so high that there's not much profit in it, so, small bit on blue for me.

Oh, I see. If all strategies are allowed, and this isn't just a "buy yes of the single pill you would take" market, you have two ways to max your return on blue: either buy yes high enough to beat red, or no to guarantee blue will resolve no.

Still getting the hang of Manifold, this is fun. Carry on!