How many OpenAI employees who were not among the first 505 to sign the letter will still work for OpenAI in a year?
11
1kṀ1283Dec 6
2%
Less than 20%
2%
At least 20% but less than 40%
15%
At least 40% but less than 60%
28%
At least 60% but less than 80%
52%
At least 80%
Of the (reportedly 770) OpenAI employees as of Monday, November 20, 505 had signed the letter threatening to leave OpenAI and follow Sam Altman and Greg Brockman elsewhere before that letter was leaked. Even though the vast majority of the others eventually signed, they may have a higher rate of attrition over the next year than the 505 fast signers.
After November 22, 2024, I will do my best to establish how many of the other 265 employees are still working for OpenAI. By December 31st, 2024, I will choose the bucket corresponding to the fraction of those employees with known-to-me status who remained working at OpenAI as of November 22, 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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