Xi Jinping will successfully mediate a talk between Vladimir Puti and at least 5 NATO leaders by March 15th, 2022.
Politics•Who does Xi think he is?
62
80
resolved Mar 15
Resolved
NO
This question is prompted by the ongoing speculation / observations in the news that the world is now entering into a hegemony between the United States and China. * The talk must be with Xi Xinping or an appointed high level delegate and at least 5 NATO leaders from any of the NATO countries. * Putin may have a stand-in such as Sergey Lavrov or other recognizable Russian leader, but the name must be recognizable and can't be some low level person talking with other low level people, they must be whatever the equivalent to Russian cabinet members would be. * Same goes for NATO, preferably the leaders would be top level officials such as Boris Johnson, Joe Biden, etc., however whatever a given country's equivalent to Vice President, Secretary of State or otherwise would be acceptable. If this ends up being a meeting of direct world leaders, this will resolve to YES. If this ends up being a bunch of cabinet members talking to each other, it may resolve to a high probability such as 75%. If a fake looking meeting between celebrities such as Sean Penn, Bono, other NATO celebrities and the members of t.A.T.u. happens it will resolve to 1%, and scale up in importance from there. If no meeting happens it will resolve to NO. Mar 3, 7:10am: > if all of these parties meet but the event is not formally chaired/mediated by China, will this resolve negatively? If this happens, China must absolutely be involved, but I will resolve to a PROB. Mar 3, 7:10am: > Depends on how they define "5 NATO leaders". Seems very unlikely unless you really expand what "NATO leader" means. See my above description, resolves to a PROB as we go down in importance. Top cabinet-level leaders qualify, e.g. Vice President, Vice-Whatever, Secretary of State or Equivalent, Secretary of Foreign Affairs, etc. However if it's that high-level cabinet member's intern meeting with an intern, that does not qualify. Mar 15, 7:21am: Getting toward the end of the day in Ukraine/Russia and the only reports I have read are about China encouraging talks or having deep concerns, so resolved as NO. https://www.dw.com/en/can-china-broker-peace-between-russia-and-ukraine/a-61081736
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bought Ṁ100 of NO
Depends on how they define "5 NATO leaders". Seems very unlikely unless you really expand what "NATO leader" means.
bought Ṁ100 of NO
seems like the person who bought $1000 YES may have misunderstood the parimutuel betting system
bought Ṁ100 of NO
It's unlikely there would be five NATO leaders present.
bought Ṁ20 of NO
how strict is the requirement that Xi be *mediating* the talk (and not merely a key participant)? if all of these parties meet but the event is not formally chaired/mediated by China, will this resolve negatively?

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