🐕 Will A.I. Achieve Significantly More, "Linguistic Temporal Understanding" by end of 2024? | Manifold

🐕 Will A.I. Achieve Significantly More, "Linguistic Temporal Understanding" by end of 2024?

13

1kṀ888

Jan 1

39%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This is the 2024 version of https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-ai-achieve-significantly-more

I may use an updated metric if the above metric is stale. I aim to get the details to this market completed by end of January 2024.

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The metric above is stale but whatever other metric you come up with, current SOTA will do it. @PatrickDelaney Do you have any plans wrt testing this?

bought Ṁ200 YES

This might qualify? https://openai.com/index/introducing-openai-o1-preview/

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