My More Clickbaity YouTube Video, "Will This Dam Collapse" Will Have an Average View Percentage Of 60% or Greater Than My Less Clickbaity Video: "I Almost Lost $50,000 (Big Money) In A Matter Of Hours Using AWS"
8
170Ṁ155
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO

This market goes toward testing the effect of how clickbaity a video is on YouTube. Do viewers punish videos by clicking away quickly if they don't understand the tie in between the start of the video and the remainder of the video?

Here's a data studio summary of my videos. As of authoring the newer one has not shown up yet, there is a lag before the data link catches up:

https://datastudio.google.com/reporting/febe08c1-b21f-4996-b7b6-428edae61036

Here's a link to the channel, in case you wish to not click on the videos themselves and potentially pollute the market, you can just look at the thumbnails and titles:

https://www.youtube.com/@patdel

  • Current viewership percentage of the newer, more clickbaity video, "Will This Dam Collapse?" stands at about 20%.

  • Current viewership of the less clickbaity video, "I Almost Lost $50,000 (Big Money) In A Matter Of Hours Using AWS" as of authoring is around 34.2%.

My friend @JimmyDeringer contends to me in an email that the newer video, since it's more clickbaity and doesn't do a good job tying together the bait with the video, will have an average view time of around 5% or so, while it currently stands at 20%.

So, let's make it a little more interesting... the ratio of: (Clickbaity)/(Non-Clickbaity) in terms of average viewership percentage will stand where it is or greater, around 20%/34.2 ~ 58%, or let's just say, > 60% between the two.

A vote of YES means that the ratio mentioned above will stay 60% or higher. A vote of NO means that the ratio mentioned above will go below 60%.


Added 29 Dec 2022, 8AM CST:

Thanks for anyone participating in this market. I'm going to bet on it as well, for now I placed $M 10 on the YES side, but not because I know anything special...I really have no clue. I am happy to hold this market for review and wait to resolve it for a week or so after the deadline if there are any major challenges or confusions about the numbers/Google Data Studio report.

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