Do not add duplicate answers. Duplicates will not be chosen
Ok, but the liquidity in this market is absolutely ridiculously tiny/broken, so there's no point trading lol. Closing since being able to trade only 1 mana at a time is worse than being open.
Should not be resolved yet. If it was "Who will be chosen for the 2026 job in 2023", then it should be phrased like this.
Clear misresolution in my book, @PatMyron
@howtodowtle Also what if the US don't qualify and don't play in the World Cup? Then it should resolve N/A imo.
@Charlie i think preliminary resolution is okay, given near certainty. You can reresolve if it comes to that, but this frees up mana earlier and makes the markets like it more attractive to bet on
@Fedor Whose definition of 'near certainty' are we going off of? I thought the whole point of Manifold was that people have different definitions of that. For me it makes markets like these less attractive to bet on because I now have no idea when they will resolve. In my experience on Manifold, it is not general practice to resolve markets early with the justification that it frees up mana. I agree that being able to reresolve markets makes this less of a risk, but that requires keeping track of what markets were prematurely resolved.
It's one market and not a big deal, but I felt the need to register that this resolution timing felt notably strange.