Will OpenAI release their o1 model before 2025?
Basic
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Ṁ8335
resolved Dec 5
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if OpenAI releases their o1 model before 2025.

For this market, it will be considered to be released if either of the following occur:

  • OpenAI announces that they have started rolling it out to ChatGPT for some users.

  • OpenAI announces that it is available in the API, even if it is not available to all tiers.

Resolves NO if none of the above happens before 2025.

Note that the o1 model is separate from the o1-mini and o1-preview model, as shown by their different benchmark scores.

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o1 is live on https://chatgpt.com/ for me with a Plus subscription.

Based on the information available, it seems likely that OpenAI will release their full o1 model before 2025. OpenAI has already released previews of the o1 model, such as o1-preview and o1-mini, in September 20242. The full version is expected to be released sometime this year.

@uair01 This is Copilot 😂

This is CHatGPT:

OpenAI released the o1-preview and o1-mini models on September 12, 2024, for ChatGPT Plus and Team users. These models are designed to enhance reasoning capabilities by taking additional time to process complex tasks, thereby improving performance in areas such as science, coding, and mathematics.

OpenAI

OpenAI plans to extend access to the o1-mini model to all free ChatGPT users; however, as of December 4, 2024, a specific release date has not been announced.

Wikipedia

Therefore, the o1 model has already been released prior to 2025, with broader availability anticipated in the near future.

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