Will another Starship successfully launch before 2024? | Manifold

Will another Starship successfully launch before 2024?

30

closes Jan 1

64%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Success is defined as a second starship launching and fully clearing the launch tower this year. And by fully clearing the tower I mean that the bottom of the rocket reaches a height that is above the tallest point of the launch tower.

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Christopher Randles

Does the "launch again" mean it has to launch land and launch again?

4 replies

Mqriuspredicts NO

@ChristopherRandles Nah, this is "again" after the first attempt.

Christopher Randles

@Mqrius The % seems to indicate that is what traders think so I suspect you are right but it seems best to be sure before trading.

The "another" indicates it is different from 24/7 combo that launched 20 April so the "again" is redundant, potentially misleading and best omitted from title unless it means launch land launch.

Mqriuspredicts NO

@ChristopherRandles This market was created closely after the first flight test. Back then it still made sense to say "again". But yeah I would've chosen a different title as well.

Christopher Randles

Now clarified by deleting the again, thank you

Abitrage

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