Will @Parallax have a baby by the end of 2027?

Question

Resolves YES if a biological child of mine is born alive before the end of 2027.

Inspired by @Aella's market. Unlike that one, an ongoing pregnancy at the deadline does not count.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 7% chance (2 traders, as of Aug 2, 2026).

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