What will Biden’s net approval rating be on October 31st, 2024 per 538?
18
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1.9%
+15 or greater
2%
+10 to +15
0.9%
+5 to +10
2%
0 to +5
5%
0 to -5
13%
-5 to -10
35%
-10 to -15
62%
-15 or greater
Will resolve per the rating at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/ at 5:00 PM Eastern US Time on 10/31/24. I will not bet on this market.
Example: “+16 in favor of Disapprove” as stated by the site would mean the option “-15 or greater” resolves as yes and all other options resolve as no
If the net rating is exactly on one of the boundaries (ex: exactly +5.0), both sides of the boundary will resolve as yes.
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