What percentage of the pop. vote will each candidate receive in the 2024 US Presidential Election? [3350 in subsidies]
31
4.5kṀ15k
resolved Dec 11
50%49%
Donald Trump (R)
48%48%
Kamala Harris (D)
1%0.9%
Jill Stein (G)
1%0.7%Other
0.6%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I)
0.6%
Chase Oliver (L)
0.6%
“Other”

Will resolve to the exact percentages reported on Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) at the close date, and I will extend if votes are not fully counted. Standard rounding rules apply (.5 rounds up, .49 rounds down). In this market, “Other” as named by Wikipedia to displace the remaining vote total other than named candidates, should be distinguished from Other as named by manifold which will serve as overflow bucket which remaining leftover percentage points will go after rounding occurs.

For example, the 2020 election wiki page, under Results, lists Biden, Trump, Jorgensen, Hawkins, and “Other”. If that election were the subject of this market, it would resolve as

Biden - 51%

Trump - 47%

Jorgensen - 1%

Hawkins - 0%

“Other” - 0%

Other - 1% (100-51-47-1=1)

Let me know if there are any questions. I will not bet on this market and I’ll continue to add in liquidity. I really want this to end up being precise :)

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