This market resolves when Anthropic publicly releases (not announces) either Claude 3.5 Opus or Claude 4.0 Sonnet. If neither are released in 2025, the market resolves N/A.

• Update 2025-05-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that resolution will be based on the exact model names as specified in the market question (i.e., 'Claude 3.5 Opus' or 'Claude 4.0 Sonnet').

  • A model released with a different name, such as 'Claude 3.7 Opus', would not count as 'Claude 3.5 Opus' for the purposes of this market.