Will Trump and Biden sweep their primaries (or other determinative party nomination processes, e.g., the NV caucus)?
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Market will resolve immediately upon a loss and may extend beyond June 2024 if runoffs occur. Only includes all 50 U.S. states and D.C. that contribute to electoral college, no U.S. territories. I am impartial.
https://www.ncsl.org/elections-and-campaigns/2024-state-primary-election-dates
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@PGeyer Nevada is hosting both a primary and a caucus, but only the caucus will award delegates for Republicans. Does the Nevada primary count as a primary?
@nikki Great point, Nikki! The 26 Nevada delegates that will help determine who wins the Republican nomination will be awarded only through the Feb 8 Republican Party-run caucus, not the Feb 6 Nevada state-run primary, so the February 8, 2024 caucus in Nevada is what matters there.
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