What will I get on USAPhO 2026?
23
Ṁ175Ṁ4.8kresolved May 21
100%5%
bronze
1.2%
camp
19%
gold
64%
silver
4%
hm
3%
distinction
3%
no award/no usapho qual
scored 12 on f=ma 2025, 16 on f=ma 2026
junior, never qualified for usapho previously
if usapho does not happen for some reason or I qualify but do not take it for any reason, resolves N/A
read through knzhou p1-t2
I will not bet on this market after USAPhO starts
update 3/6/26: scores are planned to be released on 3/9, will update/resolve with whether I qualify for USAPhO
update 3/10/26: qualified for USAPhO (official email)
Update 2026-03-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Due to changes from EuPhO scheduling, the "camp" option will resolve YES if qualifying for the USAPhO+ exam (top 20).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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got kinda cooked, predicted ~3 solves, probably overpredicted