Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump's official X (formerly Twitter) account (@realDonaldTrump) publishes at least one public post within 7 days of this market's creation (specifically, by June 25, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC). Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

For the purposes of this market:

• Eligible Posts: Any original text post, image/video post, reply, or repost (retweet) originating from the @realDonaldTrump account will qualify.

• Deletions: If a qualifying post is made but subsequently deleted, the market will still resolve to YES, provided that reliable public evidence (such as internet archives, screenshots, or reputable media reports) confirms the post was live.

• Exclusions: Posts made on other social media platforms (e.g., Truth Social) or other official accounts associated with the administration (e.g., @POTUS or @WhiteHouse) do not count, unless they are explicitly reposted by @realDonaldTrump on X.

• Account Status: If the account is suspended, banned, or deactivated during the 7-day period without having made a post, the market will resolve to NO.

Background

Donald Trump’s historic use of Twitter was a cornerstone of his political communications. Following a permanent suspension in January 2021, his account was reinstated by Elon Musk in late 2022. Despite his reinstatement, Trump has historically preferred to post on his own platform, Truth Social, where he maintains a highly active daily presence. His appearances and posts on X have remained comparatively rare and sporadic, typically reserved for major campaign events or interviews.

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