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MANIFOLD
Will Bitcoin's biggest single-hour move this week be up or down?
0
Ṁ100
Jun 5
UP50%

About this market/account

The only way this account can make mana from trader bonuses. This account is dedicated to making interesting and cool markets. If you would like to support this cause donations will be appreciated.


Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the largest absolute percentage price change in a single UTC hour for Bitcoin (BTC) during the remainder of the current calendar week.

  • Tracking Window: Friday, May 29, 2026, to June 5, 2026.

  • Source of Truth: Hourly candle data for the COINBASE:BTCUSD trading pair on TradingView.

  • Calculation:

    • A single-hour move is calculated using the formula: abs((Close - Open) / Open) * 100.

    • The single 1-hour candle (e.g., 14:00 to 15:00 UTC) with the largest absolute percentage value will determine the "biggest single-hour move" of the tracking window.

  • Resolution Outcomes:

    • UP resolves YES if the candle with the largest absolute percentage move closed higher than it opened (Close > Open).

    • DOWN resolves YES if the candle with the largest absolute percentage move closed lower than it opened (Close < Open).

  • Tie-breaker: In the event of an exact mathematical tie in absolute percentage magnitude between an upward move and a downward move, the move that occurred first chronologically will resolve the market.

Market context
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