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MANIFOLD
Will a NBA team repeat win Back to Back Championships in the next 5 years?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ44
2031
66%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if any NBA team wins consecutive championships (back-to-back) where the second championship of the consecutive pair is won in the calendar years 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, or 2031.

Specifically, this covers the following potential consecutive championship pairings:

  • 2026 & 2027 Champions (The winner of the ongoing 2026 Finals also wins the 2027 Finals)

  • 2027 & 2028 Champions

  • 2028 & 2029 Champions

  • 2029 & 2030 Champions

  • 2030 & 2031 Champions

This market resolves to NO if no team achieves a back-to-back championship during this timeframe, resolving immediately after the conclusion of the 2031 NBA Finals.

The official source of truth will be the official champions listed on NBA.com or Basketball Reference.

Background

The NBA is currently experiencing an era of unprecedented parity. Since the Golden State Warriors repeated in 2017 and 2018, there has been a different champion every single season:

  • 2019: Toronto Raptors

  • 2020: Los Angeles Lakers

  • 2021: Milwaukee Bucks

  • 2022: Golden State Warriors

  • 2023: Denver Nuggets

  • 2024: Boston Celtics

  • 2025: Oklahoma City Thunder

  • 2026: New York Knicks or San Antonio Spurs

With a new champion guaranteed in 2026, the league is on an active streak of eight consecutive years with a unique champion, the longest such stretch in NBA history. This market tracks whether this trend of parity will persist, or if a team will successfully defend their title over the next five seasons.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market context
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