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MANIFOLD
LWCW 2026 keynote speaker [ADD OPTIONS]
15
Ṁ425Ṁ1.3k
Dec 31
16%
Oliver Habryka
14%
Nate Soares
13%
Other
12%
Anna Riedl
7%
Alysa Liu
6%
Nuño Sempere
5%
Gwern
5%
Aella
4%
Joscha Bach
4%
Gwern
3%
Tetra
1.9%
Scott Alexander
1.8%
Zvi Mowshowitz
1.8%
Duncan Sabien
1.6%
Tim Urban
1.6%
David Gerard
1.3%
Eliezer Yudkowksy

If LWCW 2026 does not take place this market resolves as N/A.

If multiple people are announced as keynote speakers it will resolve as YES in equal parts to all of them.

The market will resolve to which person does in fact give the keynote, not only who is announced as doing so. This may matter if someone has to cancel last minute.

Giving the keynote remotely or as a video recording counts.

Zvi house rules apply.

Market context
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