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15
2.4k
resolved Aug 8
Resolved
N/A

In the 2020 US presidential election, Joe Biden won 51.3% of the national popular vote and Trump won 46.9%.

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If anyone would like to continue betting on this subject, I made a market:

/EvanDaniel/what-will-bidens-share-of-the-popul

Would have loved to have this be able to resolve 0.46% or whatever, but it doesn't look like it would have been possible. N/As at creator's request

Why couldn't it be resolved to the minimum?

You might be able to via API?

I think it's also fair and reasonable to resolve to 0 with probability 54%, and 1 with probability 46%, if the true answer is 0.46%.

The min value I set was 44. It felt wrong to resolve to 44 when his popular vote will be 1% or less.

It's pretty normal in these numeric markets for the creators to specify that it will be resolved to the minimum or maximum if the true number exceeds the bounds

bought Ṁ100 44-45 YES

Yea resolve to the minimum @OllieG

bought Ṁ100 44-45 YES

Should resolve to the minimum

bought Ṁ10 48-49 YES

Should be below it just by 3rd party challengers alone, then add that he's polling worse than he ever has