Currently I think it's mostly a non serious thing, and I take it a bit more seriously than astrology, but not by much. Should I change my mind ?

I won't bet in this market, but I will subsidize it.

To be clear, the way to profit on this market is: bet in the direction you think is true, and then go gather as much evidence as you can to convince me that's correct, and post it here.

Market will not resolve before 2024 and I might extend it further if some interesting discussion comes up.