Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump personally say* “Rhodesia”?
10
100Ṁ164
2029
61%
chance

Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump say the word ‘Rhodesia’ by Jan 6 2029?

‘Rhodesian’ counts. Retweeting counts.

Background

Rhodesia was a historical unrecognized state in southern Africa (now Zimbabwe) that existed from 1965 to 1979 under white minority rule. The topic occasionally resurfaces in political discussions, particularly in contexts related to colonialism, race relations, and African history. Elon Musk grew up in South Africa during the apartheid era, while Donald Trump has no direct connection to the region.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve as YES if either:

  • Elon Musk or Donald Trump personally says or writes the word "Rhodesia" or "Rhodesian" in any context before January 6, 2029

  • Either person retweets/reposts content containing these words

  • Audio, video, or written evidence must clearly show the use of the word

The market will resolve as NO if:

  • Neither person uses these words by the deadline

  • The only instances are AI-generated deepfakes or unverified claims

  • Someone else uses the word while speaking to or about them

Considerations

  • Both individuals are active on social media and frequently make public statements on various topics

  • Historical references or current events related to Zimbabwe/Rhodesia could prompt commentary

  • The long time horizon (until 2029) increases the likelihood of the topic arising naturally in conversation or commentary

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