
Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump say the word ‘Rhodesia’ by Jan 6 2029?
‘Rhodesian’ counts. Retweeting counts.
Background
Rhodesia was a historical unrecognized state in southern Africa (now Zimbabwe) that existed from 1965 to 1979 under white minority rule. The topic occasionally resurfaces in political discussions, particularly in contexts related to colonialism, race relations, and African history. Elon Musk grew up in South Africa during the apartheid era, while Donald Trump has no direct connection to the region.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve as YES if either:
Elon Musk or Donald Trump personally says or writes the word "Rhodesia" or "Rhodesian" in any context before January 6, 2029
Either person retweets/reposts content containing these words
Audio, video, or written evidence must clearly show the use of the word
The market will resolve as NO if:
Neither person uses these words by the deadline
The only instances are AI-generated deepfakes or unverified claims
Someone else uses the word while speaking to or about them
Considerations
Both individuals are active on social media and frequently make public statements on various topics
Historical references or current events related to Zimbabwe/Rhodesia could prompt commentary
The long time horizon (until 2029) increases the likelihood of the topic arising naturally in conversation or commentary