A significant number of westerners have started using the Chinese domestic audience app Xiaohongshu. This has led to significant cross border communication between the two user bases.

Question is whether this state of affairs will be disrupted by action from the Chinese side. Alternative outcomes could be segregation of users by language, location, national ID, or into separate apps.

Resolution criteria will be at my discretion, primarily drawing from reporting by SCMP, WhatsOnWeibo, or RestOfWorld on action taken to disrupt the current interaction.

Note that topic-based censorship/moderation will not be sufficient.

The steps must be to prevent the current interactions at scale, regardless of whether small scale interactions (eg Americans choosing ‘Chinese’ as their preferred language) can or do occur.

Reserve right to change criteria for 48 hours, based on feedback.

• Update 2025-03-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Extension Clause:

  • If major restrictions (i.e. notable segregation or banning measures) are in place at the market’s closing date, the market closing may be extended by a few weeks to determine if these measures are permanent.