S&P downgrades France's credit rating to A+ before December 1, 2025?
12
Ṁ1kṀ2.4kresolved Oct 17
Resolved
YES1H
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Context
Standard & Poor's currently rates France at AA- with a negative outlook. Fitch recently downgraded France from AA- to A+ on September 12, 2025, citing mounting political instability and uncertainty over fiscal consolidation.
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if S&P Global Ratings downgrades France's sovereign credit rating from AA- to A+ (or lower) on or before December 1, 2025. The market resolves to NO if France maintains its AA- rating or receives an upgrade by this date.
Resolution will be based on official announcements from S&P Global Ratings, which can be verified at: https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/
S&P's next scheduled review of France is expected in November 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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