Will Russia strike a Ukrainian grain export ship during 2022?
Ukraine-Russia war•Improperly Resolved
6
17
Ṁ140
resolved Nov 1
Resolved
YES

Aug 1, 6:59pm: Will Russia strike a Ukrainian grain export ship during 2023? → Will Russia strike a Ukrainian grain export ship during 2022?

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predicted NO

Is there a source on such a strike occurring? All the news I've been seeing has been that Russia's so far had its bluff called and been unwilling to actually take a "military solution" to forcibly interdict the grain export.

predicted NO

@jbeshir No mention in this recent piece on how the deal has now resumed of any strikes in the intervening time, for example: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/grain-ships-sail-ukraine-ports-russian-missiles-knock-out-power-across-country-2022-10-31/

bought Ṁ10 of NO
How do you intend to resolve if the strike is performed by a group merely affiliated with russia (a la malaysia airlines downing)? I think a good amount of the YES is in that circumstance.

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