Will Donald Trump claim that a photo or video of him has been faked or manipulated by 2025?
closes 2024

From market creation onwards.

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Will there be claims from Trump or a Trump-led origination that a video of Trump purported to be real is a deepfake in 2023?48%
Will Donald Trump tweet once in 2023?56%
Will there be a (real) mugshot of Donald J Trump released in 2023?22%
21. Will Donald Trump make at least one tweet in 2023?54%
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Will Donald Trump make at least three tweets in 2023?54%
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Will Donald Trump ever be president again?18%
Will we get a picture or video of Trump smiling during his time in court?91%
Will Donald Trump be convicted of any crime by the end of 2024?54%
Will Donald Trump formally cancel his deal with Truth Social by the end of 2023?43%
Will Donald Trump be convicted of a crime before 2027?75%
Will the U. S. President pardon Donald Trump by February 2025?21%
Will Trump flee the country in 2023?6%
Will any of Donald Trump's children or their spouses be a witness against him in a criminal trial by the end of 2024?28%
Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027?27%
Will Donald Trump declare bankruptcy before 2024?12%
Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024?36%
Will Donald Trump be indicted multiple times by the end of 2024?84%
Will Donald Trump be convicted of any crime in any jurisdiction by the end of 2023?18%