Resolution

ISW will be used as the definitive source for question resolution. To be considered under Russian control, the entire of the village (as marked in grey on the ISW map) must be marked as under "assessed" Russian control in the 15th October ISW update (which usually happens at around 9-10pm GMT every day). If any part of the village is marked as either under Ukrainian control or merely under "claimed" Russian control in that update, the question will resolve as 'no'.

The question will close on 14th October.

My actions

I will bet on this question, but will keep my bets small relative to the volume of trading on this question.

Linked question

https://manifold.markets/Nosaix/will-ukraine-be-in-control-of Novomaiorske on 15th October 2023