Resolves YES if Jeremy Corbyn contests any seat in the UK 2024 election under a registered political party other than Labour AND that party has never contested a seat at point of market creation on 8th January 2024.
Resolves NO if Corbyn doesn’t stand, stands for Labour, stands as an Independent (even if he styles himself as a party on the ballot sheet- if it’s not a registered party, it’s a NO), or stands for any party that has contested previous elections.
1,000
3.00Just to check, this resolves NO in the unlikely event that Corbyn stands for Galloway's Workers Party? That party seems to have contested a couple of seats in 2021... https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Workers_Party_of_Britain
@Fion Correct, the WPB stood Galloway in Batley and Spen in 2021 and so it fails the “party has never contested a seat at point of market creation on 8th January 2024” test. I would have been a bit more unsure of they’d only ever contested Scottish Parliament or local elections though, I’ll bear that in mind for future markets.
Created off the back of this news: https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/politics/jeremy-corbyn-new-politicanl-party-general-election-366430/