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Which party will win the subsequent by-election in the Rochdale constituency?
Resolves to the party which takes the most votes and so fields an MP to parliament.
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Clarification: it’s too late for Azhar Ali to be removed as Labour candidate, so he will appear on the ballot as a Labour candidate. If he wins, I will consider this a Labour win even though the party has now preemptively withdrawn the whip from him. I think this is fairest as the candidate has not changed and voters will be voting for a candidate presenting as the Labour candidate.
Gotta feel bad for the people of Rochdale here. Their choices for MP are truly horrendous.
George Galloway is now the favourite to win Rochdale by-election, say bookies
The statement issued by Noit is incorrect. There is no offical Labour candidate on the ballot, if Mr. Ali is elected he will sit as an Independent member of Parliament (citing example Neale Hanvey, was SNP candidate, deselected after the close of nominations, won the seat, readmitted into the SNP after the event)
@HarryHayfield I don’t think anyone would interpret my statement as me trying to overwrite political reality? It was just to maintain the fairness and integrity of this question market. Buyers of LAB pre-headlines were buying YES and NO in Mr Ali, Labour candidate. If I made any decision other than to continue to refer to him as the Labour candidate (and as I understand it, he will appear on the ballot as the Labour candidate as it was too late to withdraw him) then that would mean those buyers would be forced to sell LAB and buy OTHER based on my own arbitrary decision, rather than anything that happened in the political arena. Which I think is unfair, as it’d reward people who are always online rather than those actually following the politics.
Clarification: it’s too late for Azhar Ali to be removed as Labour candidate, so he will appear on the ballot as a Labour candidate. If he wins, I will consider this a Labour win even though the party has now preemptively withdrawn the whip from him. I think this is fairest as the candidate has not changed and voters will be voting for a candidate presenting as the Labour candidate.