Which party will win the Aberdeen South by-election?

Question

Which party will win the upcoming by-election in the Aberdeen South constituency?

Resolves to the party which takes the most votes and so fields an MP to parliament.

Market will close at close of polls.

If no by-election takes place before the next UK General Election then this market willwill resolve Other.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Scottish National Party, followed by Labour and Reform UK are most likely. See the market for live updates (2 traders, as of May 11, 2026).

People are also trading

Related questions