What year will the UK TV Licence Fee be axed?
Basic
3
Ṁ283
Dec 31
3%
2025
9%
2026
13%
2027
17%
2028
24%
2029
31%
2030
45%
2031
47%
2032
45%
2033
45%
2034
45%
2035

The UK TV Licence is clearly going to need replacing at some point. The first year to meet the following criteria will resolves YES:

  • The UK government passes legislation abolishing the licence fee as-at this year

    • e.g. if legislation passes in 2025 taking effect in 2026, 2026 is the year that will resolve YES

  • The UK government passes legislation that renders a TV licence either free or otherwise not relevant for the majority of the UK population as-at this year

    • Again resolves based on date of effect not date of legislation passing.

Until this happens, each answer will resolve NO at the end of the relevant year, and another year will be added as an answer.

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There should be options for after 2029

I will add them in time, I could easily go twenty years in advance but given Manifold's incentives on long-term markets I don't think the predictions will be any good.

Oh actually it only costs M10 per answer, I might as well do that now.

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