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As best I can tell the ship is off Scotland, still under US control, and the US government have made no specific claims to having found weapons or drugs on board. If anyone has any evidence to the contrary please let me know.

"The seizure of the Marinera was justified... because it was part of Russia's shadow fleet that shipped oil illicitly. Initial reports suggest the ageing tanker is empty, having been en route to pick up Venezuelan oil before changing course." — The Guardian, Jan 8, 2026

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/jan/08/two-oil-tankers-us-sanctions-english-channel-russia?hl=fr-FR

I haven't bet more because Trump says all kinds of things.

Lots of rumours about what the tanker was carrying to Venezuela, might be interesting to add another option for whether the US will explain if it was carrying anything important at all? Might take longer than 14th in which case might be better as a different market...