Will Israel control Rafah by the end of July?
92
1kṀ13k
resolved Aug 5
Resolved
NO

This question will resolve YES if there is a media consensus that Israel controls the vast majority of Rafah by the end of July.

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@Noah1 What percentage would you consider "the vast majority"?

This will come down, as always, to the definition of 'control' the questions setter decides upon.

(There is a good chance this definition changes between now and the end of July)

bought Ṁ50 NO

Israel doesn't seem to be going for "full control" of anywhere in Gaza, just removing terrorist infrastructure and enable follow up raids to prevent them coming back to the area.

bought Ṁ50 YES

https://x.com/udschachter/status/1795496777548022271

An Israeli general predicts they will control Rafah in about a month(i.e by about June 28th), so I give good odds they'll control it by the end of July

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