Will Biden publicly call for a permanent ceasefire in Gaza by the end of 2024? [w/o conditions on Hamas]
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This question will resolve YES if Biden publicly calls for a permanent ceasefire of the war in Gaza by the end of 2024.

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bought Ṁ500 NO

Since he is calling for a ceasefire with conditions on Hamas as his last big diplomacy push, this is extra unlikely now.

This is too vague to be meaningful. See Merkely’s call for a ceasefire, for instance. It included the following:

"But the ceasefire and the negotiations that follow must accomplish a number of objectives or it will not endure. Hamas must release all the hostages without conditions and lay down their arms. And Hamas, which continues to defend the savage slaughter of Israeli citizens on October 7th and advocate for the obliteration of Israel, has to go. It can no longer have operational control of Gaza"

But it was widely touted by many on the left as Merkely calling for a ceasefire, simply because he used the word. It was, uh, calling for Hamas' unconditional surrender. If Biden simply uses the word, and expresses that he wants it to last permanently, is that sufficient?

@Najawin Sorry for not responding quickly. Biden would have to call for a permanent ceasefire without significant conditions on Hamas to count. @traders If anyone made trades on my confused conditions, message me for a refund on what you put in.

Permanent?

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