If Israel attacks Iran within 3 months, will 15+ people be killed as a result of the attack?
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4
Ṁ272Jul 19
12%
chance
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1W
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This question will resolve YES if an Israeli attack on Iran within 3 months leads to 15+ deaths as a direct result of the attack. If less than 15 deaths are reported as a result of the attack, this will resolve NO.
If Israel does not attack Iran within 3 months, this question will resolve N/A. If Israel launches multiple distinct attacks within 3 months, only the first will be counted for this question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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