What illnesses will I learn that I have conditional on investigating?
What illnesses will I learn that I have conditional on investigating?
2
130Ṁ262026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
31%
Glaucoma
31%
Type 1 Diabetes
I'm a 25yo male. I spend a lot of time walking and sitting at a desk.
Here's a blood panel I took in 2021, about 2 years ago:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1o5J5GAK4720Mr2Eb9T8w2SATf-d3fbVjJrC487ZN9Tg/edit?usp=sharing
Here's a blood iron test I took in ~2022:
Here's 23andme's health predisposition tab:
Diabetes
In the past I've often been really thirsty in a way that isn't slated by water and urinated lots. It isn't always like this, though, and isn't right now. Maybe 15~40% of the last three years. I sometimes have unexplained fatigue as well that can last for weeks. One time I took what I think was a blood sugar test at a party and had normal levels.
I'd like it if you asked me questions! I might glomarize in response sometimes.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.