By How Much Does Intermittent Fasting Improve Happiness in a Non-Blind Randomized Trial?
By How Much Does Intermittent Fasting Improve Happiness in a Non-Blind Randomized Trial?
15
1.1kṀ238
resolved Jan 2
ResolvedN/A
11%
Cohen's d of d<0
30%
Cohen's d of 0<d<0.2
37%
Cohen's d of 0.2<d<0.6
19%
Cohen's d 0.6<d<1.0
3%
Cohen's d 1.0<d

This is a market in a series on markets for possible quantified self experiments I might run.

Context here, in short: I will put up >10 of these markets, run the "best" one (my own judgment, but probably just the one with the highest expected Cohen's d), and a random one (resolving them to the outcome), and will resolve all the others as N/A. In all experiments, I will be using the statistical method detailed here, code for it here.

This trial will not be blinded. As such, even though I try to not form an opinion on its outcome, all kinds of subconscious biases might creep in. Sorry for this confounder while forecasting.

50 samples, 25 intervention (eating only between 18:00 and midnight), 25 non-intervention (normal diet), chosen randomly via echo -e "fast\ndon't fast" | shuf | tail -1. Expected duration of the trial: ~2 months.

In general, I measure happiness by randomly experience sampling using MoodPatterns (more info here).

Past happiness data can be found here.

Science
N-of-1
Quantified Self Futarchy
happiness
Experiments
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