By How Much Does Caffeine + L-Theanine Improve Meditative Absorption in a Self-Blinded RCT?
14
373
1.2K
2025
20%
Cohen's d of d<0
30%
Cohen's d of 0<d<0.2
26%
Cohen's d of 0.2<d<0.6
14%
Cohen's d 0.6<d<1.0
6%
Cohen's d 1.0<d
5%
Other

This is a market in a series on markets for possible quantified self experiments I might run.

Context here, in short: I will put up >10 of these markets, run the "best" one (my own judgment, but probably just the one with the highest expected Cohen's d), and a random one (resolving them to the outcome), and will resolve all the others as N/A. In all experiments, I will be using the statistical method detailed here, code for it here.

50 samples in the morning after waking up, 25 intervention with 500mg l-theanine & 200mg caffeine and 25 placebo (sugar pills). Expected duration of trial: ~2½ months (one sample every day, but with possible pauses).

In general, by meditative absorption I mean the concentration/tranquility (in Buddhist terms samatha) during a ≥30 minute meditation session in the morning, ~45 minutes after waking up and taking the substance (less if the substance starts working immediately). I will be doing at least 15 minutes of anapanasati during that meditation session, but might start (or end) with another practice).

Past meditation data can be found here.

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